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- Newsgroups: sci.space,talk.politics.space
- Path: geraldo.cc.utexas.edu!cs.utexas.edu!usc!hela.iti.org!aws
- From: aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer)
- Subject: Rebuttal to recent Senate handout on SSRT
- Message-ID: <1993Sep24.182918.10724@iti.org>
- Followup-To: talk.politics.space
- Organization: Evil Geniuses for a Better Tomorrow
- Date: Fri, 24 Sep 1993 18:29:18 GMT
- Lines: 176
- Xref: geraldo.cc.utexas.edu sci.space:21205 talk.politics.space:1973
-
-
- When the full Senate voted on the DOD Authorization bill an amendment was
- added to fully fund the SSRT program. When Senators went to the floor they
- where given a one page handoug consisting of several bullets on the program.
- The hadnout had several errors in it and saveral pro-space organizations
- prepared rebuttals. This is from the Space Frontier Foundation. Later
- tonight I will post the rebuttal from NSS.
-
- I will also be posting an alert for a key vote next week. you can use this
- as background for any calls you make.
-
- Allen
-
- ------------------
-
- SPACE
- FRONTIER
- FOUNDATION
-
- A White Paper on...
-
- Single Stage Rocket
- Technology Program
-
- Summary
-
- Several members of the United States Senate were misled by an inaccurate and
- biased flyer handed to them immediately before a vote on DOD's highly
- successful Single Stage Rocket Technology program. This white paper corrects
- the record, point by point, so that this vital program may be considered on
- its merits in future Senate deliberations.
-
- Who we are
- The Space Frontier Foundation is a grass roots organization of American
- citizens dedicated to opening the space frontier to human exploration and
- settlement as rapidly as possible. We are an independent, volunteer-run
- organization and do not receive funding from the SSRT program or its
- contractors.
-
- Background
- During consideration of the FY94 Department of Defense Authorization bill, an
- amendment (#853) was introduced by Senators Domenici and Bingaman to provide
- initial funding for Phase Two of the Single Stage Rocket Technology Program
- (SSRT).
-
- The first phase of this program has been successfully managed by the Ballistic
- Missile Defense Organization, producing the DC-X test vehicle which has flown
- twice successfully in recent weeks on-time and within budget. The second
- phase, which would probably be transferred to the Advanced Research Projects
- Agency, would continue the quick prototyping approach of phase one, after
- which a decision could be made to go ahead with phase three: building a
- fully-capable single stage to orbit demonstrator. The three year total cost
- of phase two would range from $350-400 million.
-
- Misinformation
- During the Tuesday, September 14th debate on the Domenici-Bingaman amendment
- an anonymous handout was distributed to Senators as they entered the chamber
- to cast their votes. The Space Frontier Foundation has evaluated this handout
- and believes it contains serious errors and represents a lack of
- understanding of the SSRT program specifically and space transportation
- issues generally by the unknown author or authors.
-
- The handout was divided into two parts: weak arguments in favor of the
- Domenici-Bingaman amendment, and strong (and inaccurate) arguments against it.
- The remainder of this white paper is a point by point analysis of the
- handout's arguments, which are quoted verbatim in italics.
-
- Damned by faint praise
-
- [SSRT] Has captured public imagination
-
- Many of our members flew out to White Sands recently to witness the second
- test flight. The public demand to view this historic vehicle was so great
- that the base was opened up to a large group from the general public for the
- first time to watch a test of this nature. It is safe to say that among pro-
- space Americans, this is by far the most popular space effort currently
- underway.
-
- [SSRT is an] Efficient new way of doing business
-
- This project has set an example for federal procurement and is a model for
- President Clinton's drive to reinvent government and make it work. Total BMDO
- overhead has been less than 3% of expenditures, which is a fine standard for
- other DOD projects to live up to.
-
- [SSRT] Could possibly make space flight as common as air travel
-
- We agree. This is why the program is so popular with our members.
-
- [SSRT] Aims to reduce cost from $5,000 per pound to $50
-
- This is overstating the case a bit. It may be that the SSRT program's
- breakthroughs in technology and operational approach will bring about costs
- of $50 per pound, but that is well into the future, and has never been
- claimed by the program. The declared goal of $500 per pound is achievable and
- will bring about significant cost savings for the government. In addition,
- it will allow the U.S. to recapture 100% of the world launch market (2/3 of
- which has been lost to foreign competition).
-
- Lies, damn lies, and statistics
-
- [the SSRT] Program will cost $6 billion
-
- The phase of the SSRT program you are currently considering for funding will
- only cost $400 million over about 3.5 years. Far less than $6 billion and
- given the programs track record, there will be no overruns or schedule slips.
- This phase and the resulting SX-2 vehicle will answer all open questions and
- pave the way to significant cost reductions in US launch costs.
-
- [the SSTO will be a] 700 ton spaceship that flies up and back
-
- That weight makes it smaller than a medium airliner and far less than the
- Space Shuttle. It isn't a large vehicle by aerospace standards. The fact that
- it flies up and back means it is reusable and will save the government
- billions in launch costs. It is hard to see why this is considered a
- disadvantage.
-
- [SSRT program] Risks are very great. Requires new engines, new engineering
-
- Independent assessments done by other airframe companies and consultants
- (like the Aerospace Corporation) have concluded that it can be done with
- todays technology and materials. Yes there is risk (as in any project) but
- the rapid prototyping approach used by BMDO allows the program to come to an
- easy end if the results don't pan out. Since DC-X is working as expected, we
- should continue with the SX-2. If it fails, we can end the program cleanly
- at that time.
-
- If [vehicle] weight growth is even 1.5%, payload would be zero
-
- Part of the conservative approach taken by BMDO includes a 15% allowance for
- weight growth. Even with a 20% growth in weight, a working SSRT vehicle would
- lift as much as the existing Atlas launcher for 10% the cost. To get the above
- numbers, the author of the handout incorrectly assumes increases in the
- structure of the spacecraft will cause the fuel to get heavier. This is not
- only incorrect, but probably dishonest, as the author should know better.
-
- Wrong vehicle for DOD
-
- The DOD space launch budget is just as large as NASA's. It will benefit just
- as much as NASA by the drastic cost reductions possible with this technology.
- In addition, the ability to rapidly launch payloads and conduct reconnaissance
- granted by this approach is of far greater use to DOD operational
- requirements than NASA.
-
- Possible right vehicle for NASA
-
- Cost savings in launches and easy access to the International Space Station
- do make this a win for NASA. However, NASA is about three years behind BMDO
- and valuable time would be lost if this project where turned over to NASA. At
- the same time, the SSRT technologies should be transferred to them. The Space
- Frontier Foundation believes competing programs culminating in a fly off is
- the best approach.
-
- Conclusion
-
- The Space Frontier Foundation is very disturbed that this error-filled
- handout was allowed to muddy the waters of the debate on this important
- program. That the author or authors of this document didn't sign their names
- to it seems to us clear evidence that even they are not willing to stand
- behind their arguments. We hope you won't either.
-
- For additional information, please contact:
-
- Allen Sherzer
- Space Frontier Foundation
- 16 First Avenue
- Nyack, NY 10960
- 1-800-78-SPACE
-
-
-
- --
- +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
- | Allen W. Sherzer | Mordecai: "What do we do after we do it?" |
- | aws@iti.org | Marshall Duncan: "Ya live with it." |
- +--------------------1161 DAYS TO FIRST FLIGHT OF SX-2----------------------+